Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#79
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#84
Pace74.4#44
Improvement+2.4#69

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#163
First Shot-0.3#177
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#141
Layup/Dunks+0.2#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#210
Freethrows+1.5#79
Improvement+1.6#94

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#39
First Shot+5.6#40
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#112
Layups/Dunks+3.0#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#125
Freethrows+2.3#48
Improvement+0.8#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 134   Albany L 81-87 76%     0 - 1 -7.0 -0.5 -5.9
  Nov 13, 2016 209   Duquesne W 82-74 86%     1 - 1 +2.5 +1.8 +0.2
  Nov 15, 2016 161   Grand Canyon W 85-76 79%     2 - 1 +6.7 +7.8 -1.8
  Nov 19, 2016 10   Duke L 68-78 13%     2 - 2 +8.4 +0.3 +8.2
  Nov 20, 2016 24   Cincinnati L 50-71 19%     2 - 3 -5.5 -12.2 +6.0
  Nov 23, 2016 270   Colgate W 72-59 92%     3 - 3 +3.8 -2.8 +7.1
  Nov 26, 2016 113   @ George Washington W 74-68 53%     4 - 3 +11.6 -0.3 +11.6
  Nov 29, 2016 77   Georgia Tech W 67-60 58%     5 - 3 +11.2 +2.8 +8.4
  Dec 03, 2016 165   Wright St. W 72-50 80%     6 - 3 +19.5 -8.2 +26.3
  Dec 07, 2016 109   George Mason L 66-85 70%     6 - 4 -18.1 -11.4 -5.5
  Dec 10, 2016 73   Pittsburgh L 73-81 45%     6 - 5 -0.3 -2.2 +2.3
  Dec 18, 2016 89   @ St. John's W 92-76 45%     7 - 5 +23.5 +9.3 +12.0
  Dec 21, 2016 326   Morgan St. W 96-55 96%     8 - 5 +27.2 +13.2 +10.9
  Dec 27, 2016 40   Northwestern L 77-87 40%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -1.1 +7.6 -8.3
  Jan 01, 2017 116   @ Rutgers W 60-47 54%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +18.3 -8.4 +26.4
  Jan 04, 2017 21   @ Michigan L 69-72 12%     9 - 7 1 - 2 +15.9 +9.4 +6.2
  Jan 07, 2017 44   Michigan St. W 72-63 31%     10 - 7 2 - 2 +20.4 +3.1 +17.1
  Jan 14, 2017 32   Minnesota W 52-50 36%     11 - 7 3 - 2 +12.1 -12.6 +24.7
  Jan 18, 2017 38   Indiana L 75-78 39%     11 - 8 3 - 3 +6.1 +4.5 +1.5
  Jan 21, 2017 16   @ Purdue L 52-77 10%     11 - 9 3 - 4 -4.9 -8.8 +3.3
  Jan 24, 2017 23   @ Wisconsin L 55-82 13%     11 - 10 3 - 5 -8.7 -1.2 -10.4
  Jan 28, 2017 64   Illinois W 71-67 51%     12 - 10 4 - 5 +10.0 +7.7 +2.6
  Feb 01, 2017 38   @ Indiana L 102-110 3OT 23%     12 - 11 4 - 6 +6.2 +3.8 +4.7
  Feb 04, 2017 116   Rutgers L 68-70 72%     12 - 12 4 - 7 -1.8 +4.9 -6.9
  Feb 07, 2017 43   Maryland W 70-64 40%     13 - 12 5 - 7 +14.8 +6.3 +9.0
  Feb 11, 2017 64   @ Illinois W 83-70 32%     14 - 12 6 - 7 +24.0 +21.6 +3.1
  Feb 14, 2017 99   @ Nebraska L 66-82 48%     14 - 13 6 - 8 -9.0 -1.1 -8.1
  Feb 21, 2017 16   Purdue L 70-74 OT 20%     14 - 14 6 - 9 +11.1 -0.5 +11.9
  Feb 25, 2017 32   @ Minnesota L 71-81 20%     14 - 15 6 - 10 +5.2 +3.4 +2.5
  Feb 28, 2017 71   Ohio St. L 70-71 54%     14 - 16 6 - 11 +4.3 -1.7 +6.0
  Mar 05, 2017 65   @ Iowa L 79-90 33%     14 - 17 6 - 12 +0.0 +9.4 -9.4
  Mar 08, 2017 99   Nebraska W 76-67 OT 57%     15 - 17 +13.4 +4.3 +8.8
  Mar 09, 2017 44   Michigan St. L 51-78 31%     15 - 18 -15.6 -12.4 -5.1
Projected Record 15.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%